We provide global convergence guarantees for the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm applied to mixtures of two Gaussians with known covariance matrices. We show that EM converges geometrically to the correct mean vectors, and provide simple, closed-form expressions for the convergence rate. As a simple illustration, we show that in one dimension ten steps of the EM algorithm initialized at infinity result in less than 1% error estimation of the means.

Joint work with Christos Tzamos and Manolis Zampetakis.